União Barbarense vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
AUD
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 2
UNI
66%
19%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
NOR
60%
20%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 1
RBB
50%
23%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 3
PEN
55%
22%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |