União Barbarense vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
TAU
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 2
58%
21%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
2 - 2
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
2 - 0
ATL
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VOT
1 - 0
PAU
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 1
PAU
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |