Paulista B Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
União Barbarense vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
VOC
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
UNI
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
VOC
0 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
GDS
28%
23%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
GDS
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 0
VOC
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 2
AME
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |