Unia Tarnów vs Podhale Nowy Targ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
11º
18º
14º
45
5º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
89% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unia Tarnów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CPO
0 - 1
UTA
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UTA
1 - 2
ASW
15%
23%
62%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MSK
5 - 2
UTA
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UTA
0 - 0
WIS
25%
23%
53%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIE
7 - 0
UTA
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Podhale Nowy Targ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
POD
1 - 1
KSW
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CRA
3 - 2
POD
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POD
2 - 0
LUB
22%
24%
55%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STA
1 - 0
POD
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
ORP
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |