Unia Skierniewice vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
14º
7º
55
3º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unia Skierniewice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PEL
1 - 2
USK
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
USK
0 - 1
PGM
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 1
USK
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KSL
2 - 0
USK
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KSB
0 - 1
USK
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
LTM
2 - 1
LKS
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 3
LTM
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LTM
0 - 1
OLI
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PBI
0 - 2
LTM
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LTM
3 - 0
WSI
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |