UNDEBA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 2
UND
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
UND
2 - 0
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
COL
3 - 4
UND
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 0
UND
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
DOM
0 - 1
UND
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SUB
0 - 2
SVV
35%
25%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SUB
1 - 1
VIC
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SIT
1 - 2
SUB
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
HUB
2 - 2
SUB
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
SUB
0 - 4
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |