UNDEBA vs Inter Willemstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
UND
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 4
UND
56%
20%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
UND
4 - 2
TKS
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 2
UND
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UND
2 - 3
SUB
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Willemstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
INW
2 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 0
INW
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
INW
0 - 1
VIC
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
SUB
0 - 3
INW
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
INW
1 - 1
SCH
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |