UNDEBA vs Inter Willemstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UND
1 - 2
BAR
46%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SUB
2 - 1
UND
38%
24%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -4 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SVV
4 - 0
UND
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 2
UND
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
VIC
0 - 0
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Willemstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
INW
1 - 1
SUB
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SVV
3 - 2
INW
38%
22%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -10 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
INW
0 - 5
HOL
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +9 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
INW
1 - 3
VIC
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
HUB
1 - 3
INW
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |