Uncastillo J vs Luna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+175%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 2
UNC
42%
21%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PRA
5 - 2
UNC
31%
20%
49%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UNC
1 - 3
BIO
19%
18%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UNC
2 - 2
BAR
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LUN
4 - 1
UNC
65%
17%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LUN
2 - 6
LUC
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PUY
1 - 5
LUN
18%
19%
64%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LUN
2 - 0
BAR
84%
10%
5%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LUN
4 - 1
UNC
65%
17%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUN
31%
22%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |