Uncastillo J vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
62.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+504%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
UNC
1 - 4
PUY
57%
20%
24%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UNC
1 - 2
PIN
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 4
UNC
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UNC
2 - 3
LUN
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
UNC
39%
20%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
7 - 0
LUN
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 3
BAR
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
BIO
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 4
SAN
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |