Uncastillo J vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
58.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+504%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
UNC
39%
21%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UNC
1 - 2
AGR
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 2
UNC
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNC
3 - 1
ALE
44%
20%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
UNC
3 - 0
OLI
55%
19%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 3
BAR
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PUY
2 - 3
BAR
61%
18%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
LUN
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAR
13%
17%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |