Uncastillo J vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+212%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TAR
8 - 2
UNC
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UNC
0 - 1
BOR
18%
18%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LUN
6 - 1
UNC
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UNC
2 - 1
SAN
56%
19%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNC
2 - 3
OLV
17%
18%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 1
BAR
83%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAN
51%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PUY
2 - 1
BAR
58%
19%
24%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEP
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALE
2 - 3
BAR
43%
21%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |