Uncastillo J vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+504%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PUY
5 - 0
UNC
57%
18%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UNC
1 - 3
ALE
49%
19%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PIN
2 - 0
UNC
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
OLV
3 - 0
UNC
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
UNC
2 - 5
PUY
34%
20%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
PRA
18%
19%
64%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LUN
1 - 0
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
OLV
16%
19%
65%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EUR
1 - 0
BAR
78%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
PUY
5 - 2
BAR
47%
20%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |