Uncastillo J vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+350%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LUN
4 - 1
UNC
65%
17%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
3 - 4
UNC
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
UNC
1 - 2
PUY
46%
20%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
UNC
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 3
UNC
28%
20%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BIO
2 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUN
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOR
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PUY
4 - 2
BAR
29%
21%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOV
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |