Uncastillo J vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+350%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
UNC
3 - 2
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PUY
2 - 0
UNC
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
REM
3 - 0
UNC
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 6
UNC
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
UNC
1 - 4
BOR
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALE
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BIO
3 - 1
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
PRA
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 3
VAL
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PUY
3 - 2
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |