Uncastillo J vs Alera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
33%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+350%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UNC
2 - 2
PIN
16%
17%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
UNC
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNC
2 - 4
PUY
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
UNC
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UNC
3 - 6
REM
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 1
BOR
36%
22%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
4 - 1
ALE
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 3
BAR
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PUY
2 - 0
ALE
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 1
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |