Umuarama vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TRI
5 - 0
JAT
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
IPO
3 - 3
TRI
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
TRI
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
APA
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 0
MIN
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |