Umuarama vs Goiânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
66.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umuarama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IPO
3 - 2
UMU
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 0
UMU
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
2 - 1
MIN
10%
18%
72%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 2
UMU
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UMU
2 - 4
TRI
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
Goiânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
0 - 4
CNO
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 0
GOI
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 2
TRI
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 0
GOI
41%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 3
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |