UMSNH vs Selva Cañera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMSNH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 3
UMS
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UMS
2 - 1
CUA
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 0
UMS
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UMS
6 - 1
GLA
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 1
UMS
33%
25%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Selva Cañera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 2
CEL
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
HID
0 - 2
SEL
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 0
SEL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 0
SEL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 1
MAL
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |