UMSNH vs Celaya Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMSNH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
HID
2 - 0
UMS
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 2
UMS
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UMS
2 - 1
SEL
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 3
UMS
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UMS
2 - 1
CUA
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 3
CAN
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 1
HID
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
PAT
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 2
CEL
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
MAL
26%
24%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |