Umm Salal vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
UMM
3 - 0
KHO
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
UMM
1 - 2
QAT
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
UMM
2 - 1
ARA
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
UMM
1 - 2
SAD
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
UMM
1 - 1
WAK
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2006 |
GHA
1 - 1
SAD
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GHA
3 - 2
ARA
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
WAK
1 - 1
GHA
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
KHO
1 - 5
GHA
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GHA
1 - 1
QAT
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |