UMJEC vs Corumbaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
70.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
COX
1 - 2
COR
21%
22%
57%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PIN
0 - 0
COR
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
COR
1 - 5
PPE
31%
30%
39%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
VIL
4 - 3
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
COR
1 - 3
VNG
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |