UMJEC vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMJEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AGU
2 - 0
UMJ
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
COR
5 - 0
UMJ
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 59 | 48 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 1
UMJ
83%
10%
7%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
UMJ
2 - 4
COS
4%
19%
77%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
COX
3 - 1
UMJ
83%
10%
7%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CEN
2 - 1
COR
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 1
7DE
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 4
CEN
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CEN
3 - 2
COX
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
OPE
2 - 1
CEN
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |