Umia vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UDA
5 - 1
UMI
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UMI
1 - 0
PON
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
UMI
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UMI
0 - 2
BAR
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
UMI
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
CAM
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHO
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
MOA
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
CHO
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 0
CHO
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |