Umia vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SES
2 - 2
UMI
50%
22%
27%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UMI
0 - 0
MAR
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
UMI
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UMI
1 - 1
CAN
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NIG
1 - 1
UMI
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
PON
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SES
3 - 0
CAL
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 4
MOA
30%
23%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
UDE
49%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |