UMF Geisli vs Dalvík / Reynir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
76.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMF Geisli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GEI
1 - 1
DFC
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GEI
1 - 2
STA
5%
10%
85%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MID
8 - 1
GEI
91%
6%
2%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
KBB
1 - 3
GEI
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GEI
0 - 6
KHR
4%
9%
88%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Dalvík / Reynir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
KAR
6 - 1
DAL
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
DAL
4 - 1
BER
66%
17%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
VAN
2 - 0
DAL
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
DAL
1 - 2
THR
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DAL
2 - 2
AEG
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |