Álftanes vs UMF Geisli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.9%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
1.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Álftanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DFC
1 - 3
ALF
16%
17%
66%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
KBB
79%
13%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
KHR
0 - 2
ALF
77%
14%
10%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
ALF
10 - 0
AFC
91%
7%
2%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
STA
2 - 0
ALF
24%
19%
57%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
UMF Geisli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
STA
3 - 0
GEI
93%
6%
2%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GEI
1 - 0
AFC
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
DFC
3 - 2
GEI
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
GEI
1 - 3
KBB
6%
11%
84%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GEI
1 - 1
MID
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |