Fifth Division Iceland Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Álftanes vs Thróttur Vogar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Álftanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
VAN
53%
22%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAN
1 - 1
ALF
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
6 - 0
SNA
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LUM
1 - 6
ALF
12%
17%
71%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
6 - 0
HOR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Thróttur Vogar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
KFG
2 - 1
THR
57%
21%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
THR
2 - 0
KFG
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
KRI
1 - 1
THR
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
THR
1 - 0
KHR
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
THR
2 - 2
ARB
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |