Álftanes vs Lumman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Álftanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
KON
0 - 7
ALF
8%
16%
77%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 2
ALF
21%
22%
58%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
KAR
4 - 4
ALF
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
ALF
5 - 2
HVI
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +3 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
VIK
18%
21%
60%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Lumman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
LUM
2 - 5
SNA
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
KON
0 - 4
LUM
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
LUM
1 - 4
HOR
38%
24%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
KAR
5 - 0
LUM
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |