UMECIT II vs Potros del Este II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
84.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
18.8%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.7%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
6º
17
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
UME
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
CHA
9%
18%
73%
|
13 | 58 | 45 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 1
UME
83%
12%
4%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
COL
4%
10%
86%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +3 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
2 - 3
SSM
8%
18%
75%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Potros del Este II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 4
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 2
SMA
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 1
CDE
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
CDE
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 2
CDP
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |