UMECIT II vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
86.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.8%
0-5
6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
6º
7
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
2 - 3
SSM
8%
18%
75%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
ARA
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
COL
3 - 3
CEN
59%
19%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
UME
2 - 1
COL
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |