UMECIT II vs Champions Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
72.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
6º
25
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 1
UME
83%
12%
4%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
COL
4%
10%
86%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +3 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
2 - 3
SSM
8%
18%
75%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Champions Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
CHA
14%
20%
66%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
ARA
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 1
CHA
37%
26%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
VCD
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
TFC
43%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |