UMECIT II vs Árabe Unido II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
6º
20
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UME
1 - 1
UDP
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
UME
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SSM
7 - 0
UME
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UME
4 - 1
SMA
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
UME
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 60 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 1
ARA
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 4
CHA
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 2
CDP
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |