UMECIT vs Tauro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
8º
28
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
UME
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
ARA
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COS
0 - 0
UME
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
SMI
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tauro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 2
AZU
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 2
TAU
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 3
TAU
36%
29%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |