UMECIT vs Tauro II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
6º
34
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
UME
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UME
1 - 1
ARA
30%
28%
41%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
UME
60%
25%
14%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UME
6 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tauro II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
TFC
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
SSM
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
TFC
5 - 0
CEN
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TFC
3 - 0
CDE
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |