UMECIT vs Sporting San Miguelito II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
6º
32
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UME
3 - 1
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
UME
2 - 1
COL
82%
13%
6%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 0
UME
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 3
IND
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 7
UME
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
4 - 0
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
SSM
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 1
SSM
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SSM
8 - 1
CDE
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 2
CDP
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |