UMECIT vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
8º
24
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 1
UME
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
UME
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 2
TAU
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
UME
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
IND
3 - 1
SUN
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SFF
3 - 1
IND
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |