UMECIT vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
12º
9º
28
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AZU
2 - 1
UME
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
UME
0 - 0
SMI
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
TAU
4 - 2
UME
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 1
UME
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
UME
0 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 0
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
COS
1 - 3
CHO
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 0
SMI
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 1
CHO
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
3 - 1
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |