UMECIT vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
9º
23
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 2
SFF
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
SFF
28%
29%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 1
UME
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
SUN
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
SUN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |