UMECIT vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
11º
11º
21
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 4
UME
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SFF
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
AZU
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
UME
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
CHO
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AMA
6 - 0
CHO
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
IND
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
CHO
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |