UMECIT vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
6º
5
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
UME
63%
24%
14%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
AFM
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
UME
0 - 0
SSM
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UME
4 - 0
PCF
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PCF
0 - 0
UME
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
CEN
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 5
UME
9%
21%
70%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 0
CEN
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
SSM
9 - 0
CEN
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CEN
2 - 3
COL
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |