UMECIT vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
UME
2 - 1
COL
76%
15%
8%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
UME
1 - 3
CDE
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
UME
4 - 4
SMA
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 1
UME
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UME
2 - 1
CDP
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 4
SSM
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
CEN
4 - 1
SMA
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
PCF
1 - 0
CEN
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 3
AFC
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDE
1 - 2
CEN
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |