UMECIT vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
UME
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 1
SSM
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
COL
2 - 1
CEN
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
OES
1 - 1
CEN
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 2
SMA
37%
31%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
SUN
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |