UMECIT vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
8º
8º
0
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
3 | 25 |
1º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 25 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 25 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 25 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 25 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 22 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 22 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 21 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 19 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 19 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 13 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
7.5% | 3.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
13% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
SMI
0 - 1
UME
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
UME
1 - 1
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
UME
2 - 0
SFF
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 0
UME
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
UME
0 - 2
CHO
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 4
AMA
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 2
ARA
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TAU
2 - 1
ARA
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
0 - 1
AMA
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
SMI
1 - 0
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |