UMECIT vs Árabe Unido II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
6º
32
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
UME
59%
24%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
UME
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
UME
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 0
UME
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UME
1 - 1
SFF
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
CEN
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
ARA
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SSM
0 - 0
ARA
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
CEN
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |