Umeå vs Trelleborgs FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
13º
16º
16º
13
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 53 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 53 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 45 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 44 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 43 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 41 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 39 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 39 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 20 |
15º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
IKO
1 - 0
UME
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
UME
3 - 0
PIT
77%
14%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
UME
0 - 0
OST
47%
23%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
UME
0 - 1
GIF
45%
23%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
TAF
0 - 2
UME
5%
13%
82%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Trelleborgs FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 1
OST
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MJÄ
4 - 0
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
TRE
2 - 2
HAL
27%
24%
50%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 1
TRE
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
DEG
0 - 1
TRE
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |