Umeå vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
PIT
4 - 4
UME
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UME
1 - 1
HUD
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UME
2 - 2
BRO
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IFK
0 - 1
UME
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UME
2 - 3
ORE
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GEF
2 - 2
HTF
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAN
1 - 2
GEF
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GEF
1 - 2
ORE
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
GEF
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GEF
3 - 2
SYL
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |