Umeå vs Bodens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AKR
0 - 2
UME
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SIR
3 - 0
UME
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
UME
3 - 4
ASI
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
UME
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
UME
0 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bodens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOD
0 - 3
SIR
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SKE
2 - 1
BOD
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
BOD
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BOD
3 - 1
GIK
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
OST
0 - 1
BOD
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |