Umeå FC Akademi vs Lucksta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
5º
3º
10
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå FC Akademi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
OST
2 - 0
UAK
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
UAK
5 - 3
OST
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
TAF
0 - 2
UAK
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
UAK
1 - 2
KUB
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FRI
1 - 6
UAK
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
LUC
5 - 1
TAF
50%
21%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TAF
0 - 0
LUC
43%
22%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
KUB
2 - 1
LUC
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
LUC
2 - 1
FRI
15%
18%
68%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
GIF
3 - 1
LUC
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |