UM Escobedo vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 0
SEL
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
ESC
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
TRO
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CUL
0 - 0
ESC
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 2
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TRO
4 - 0
VEL
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
CUL
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 1
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 1
TEX
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |